I've been doing a good bit of reading lately about concepts of economics that run counter to the prevailing 'wisdom' on the subject. I'm going to be posting some quick intros to these concepts along with links. In my experience, lack of a deep understanding of economics and willingness to be intellectually bullied by people who think they know what they're talking about is a major reason so many people are happily standing by while the political centre gets shifted incrementally rightward. (Quick side note: people who uses the phrase 'Econ 101' in a political argument rarely understand any econ beyond the 101 level and probably misunderstood half of that too.) The ideas of modern money theory are a prime example of this.
The primary observations of MMT as it is commonly known relate to the nature of the money supply in a fiat-money economy. For those who don't know, fiat money is money created by a central national bank like the Bank of Canada or the US Federal Reserve at the behest of the state central government. Before 1971 the international monetary standard was at least nominally a 'gold standard' in which currency was theoretically exchangeable for a set quantity of gold on demand. This meant that currency was in effect a form of commodity with a limited supply. Since 1971 the countries of the world have been on a 'fiat money' standard in which the quantities of currency in circulation are determined directly by the central bank. Instead of being a (theoretical) guarantee of exchange for a commodity, fiat currency is 'valuable' because it is 'legal tender' which can be used to pay taxes.
This leads to an interesting consequence. For most people and organizations, you have to get money before you spend it. Simple, right? First you get the money, then you spend it. When money is a commodity with limited supply, the government works the same way - first it has to get money, by imposing taxes or by borrowing it, then it gets to spend money from its 'treasury'.
However, according to MMT, once a government moves from commodity to fiat money, this is no longer the case -- in fact, the reverse is true. The government is the only reason there is any money in circulation; in order to get spending money, the government simply prints it. ('Printing' is a bit of a misnomer; in this day and age, most money does not have a literal physical existence, so the creation and destruction of money are both a matter of changes to balances in bank-account ledgers at the central bank.) The money created by the government runs around the economy, passing from the recipient to companies to individuals to companies and so on, and eventually gets paid as taxes back to the government, at which point it is effectively destroyed.
Let's say that again because it might not have quite sunk in. Under a fiat money system, the government does not need to finance its spending because it is the source of all money. Taxes and government debt have become little more than tools for shaping macroeconomic policy. The government does not need to tax before it can spend. It does not need to borrow before it can spend, either. The government creates all the money; therefore the government can spend all of the money it wants.
There's quite a bit more to MMT, but that one simple fact should be enough to wipe away a lot of the haze that surrounds our discourse on government spending. There's a fashion for 'austerity' these days, based on the premise that government spending is 'out of control', that the governments of the world are too deeply in debt and can't afford all those lavish social programs; that, like spendthrift people who run up huge credit card bills buying stuff they can't afford, the governments of the world are going to have to cut back if they don't want, I guess, their infrastructure to be repossessed and their countries to be foreclosed? The simple extension of the metaphor makes it clear how absurd this is. We keep hearing about governments 'running out of money' or 'defaulting of their debt'. This is a lie. It is a lie used to bully people who don't understand economics by those who should know better. 'Wasteful' deficit spending is not going to make the government go broke. The government creates all of the money. Therefore, the government by definition has all of the money it could possibly need.
Further Reading:
Modern Money Mechanics
Bill Mitchell's blog
Kindergarten Guide to MMT (PDF)
3 comments:
Well look at that: Not only writing again, but writing about the economy!
Happy New Year.
Good summary of MMT. I have some trouble with MMT myself, as it takes all the economics of the past 250 years and reverses it. It keeps the relations but reverses the logic. With MMT, "the reverse is true" is their standard operating procedure.
I find it difficult to trust their reversed logic. They only say that everything you thought you knew is wrong. Their generalizations are too sweeping, to suit me. Doubt is a wonderful thing, especially in regard to prediction.
But fiat money definitely changed the rules of the game, and MMT is right to focus on that.
"In my experience, lack of a deep understanding of economics and willingness to be intellectually bullied by people who think they know what they're talking about is a major reason so many people are happily standing by while the political centre gets shifted incrementally rightward."
A good observation. But there is also "bullying" that comes from MMT, and lots of weak argument and lots of bad analogy. And yes, "the government by definition has all of the money it could possibly need". But MMT does not have a way to prevent that fact from turning into runaway inflation, not that I can see.
From your previous post:
"I started this blog as a wild-eyed, somewhat panicked response to the alarming trends that I had failed to see developing around me..."
Just remember that there are all sorts of lies "used to bully people who don't understand economics by those who should know better."
And don't be confused by the satisfying objectives that always manage to get entangled in with the economics of MMT.
Thanks for your comments! It's clear you understand this subject more thoroughly than I do, as I follow you regularly but barely understand half of what you're saying on your blog. In focusing here on MMT I'm trying mainly to present critiques and alternative viewpoints to 'orthodox' economics as a way of (a) working through my own viewpoints on econ, and (b) arming readers against the standard, snide neoliberal/libertopian 'you don't understand econ therefore I'm right and shut up' type of arguments. I'm not saying I think MMT is completely and intrinsically correct, though I think most of it hangs together pretty well and follows logically from its premises. As I understand it the goal of government fiscal and monetary policy according to MMT is to find some 'sweet spot' between full employment and inflation, which I agree would be pretty difficult to predict and I have little faith in modern states' ability to do so - but then I have little faith in the centralized state as such. But it seems pretty clear to me that given the choice between a government at least *trying* to find that spot, and one that's deliberately crippling its own economy by application of misguided neoliberal 'austerity' tropes, I know which one I'm rooting for.
Hey X (can I call you X?) and hey Art!
X, dont let that Art guy bully you into questioning the absolute truth and wisdom of MMT! : )
All kidding aside, Art is correct about approaching everything with an open mind and dose of skepticism. That being said, I for one think MMT offers much more as a tool for describing the reality we live in with our monetary system. Art spends a lot of time looking at the affects of private credit use on our economy and I think that wise, Steve Keen does to, but one cannot forget the primary role the govt takes (and SHOULD take) in our monetary system.
Art and I agree on much more than we disagree but I think you are wise to try and understand MMT more.
MMT is the only paradigm which understands and focuses on getting your accounting right. The 4 main ones (Austrian, Monetarist, New Keynesian and Neo Classical) are pathetic and most of their acolytes will freely admit they dont really understand banking and accounting. I say if you cant get the accounting right your economics will be wrong too. One can certainly get the accounting correct and still make bad economic judgments/prescriptions but if your accounting is all wrong form the start, how in the hell do you know who has what and how much do they have (which seems to me the ultimate objective of economics). If you dont know how much and what people have, is there any way we can determine anything of consequence in our economy.
I do disagree with Art here;
" And yes, "the government by definition has all of the money it could possibly need". But MMT does not have a way to prevent that fact from turning into runaway inflation, not that I can see."
Does anyone have the answer you seek here? Monetarists think inflation is just a "feeling people have"and Austrians think that that fed has destroyed our standard of living by 95% since 1913. No one has an answer for inflation because inflation means too many things to different people. I think you will find that MMT has a pretty good prescription for price stability (which is NOT 0% inflation)
Good luck X
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